Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into tonight’s season finale.

Well, this is it. The season finale is upon us, and though there are still six people remaining heading into tonight’s votes, it would be a SHOCK if anyone but Domenick or Wendell won.

That said, it’s still possible for Laurel to pull something off. I think we’re all in agreement Sebastian and Angela cannot win, and Donathan would be the ultimate longshot. So if those other players can figure that out in time and band together, they might be able to pull off a miracle.

Here are the final power rankings of the season, in order of best chance to win.

Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into Week 12.

 

(Intentional space left to indicate huge dropoff to the rest of the players.)

 

Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into Week 11.

The Survivor producers tried to mix things up last week with the double tribal council with separate tribes, but guess what? The result ultimately turned out to be the same as it would have been with one tribe: The bottom two Malolos (Jenna and Michael) went home.

But this is probably the week Original Naviti finally falls apart! Or maybe not. To help you keep track of what’s going on, I’ve added a (O-Nav) or (O-Malolo) by the names below. These are ranked by best chance of winning the whole game.

Note: If you are confused on which player is which, click on their name to see a photo of them.

Survivor Power Rankings: Week 11

1. Domenick (Last week: 1) — (O-Nav) It’s Domenick and Wendell’s world right now, and everyone else is just living in it. Seriously, why don’t the other players try to break up this power duo? Crazy! Anyway, I’m giving Domenick the slight edge because he indicated last week he could turn on Wendell if needed before the final three, while we’ve heard no such talk from Wendell. 

2. Wendell (Last week: 2) — (O-Nav) He’s obviously liked by the majority of the players and believes he can win — even if he sits next to Dom at the end. I’m not so sure about that, though their alliance should stay together for the time being.

3. Laurel (Last week: 4) — (O-Mal) She’s in a decent spot, despite there only being two Malolos remaining. Dom and Wendell seem to have more loyalty to her than they do to Kellyn, and Kellyn’s panicky vote(s) toward her last week might actually strengthen Laurel’s position. As long as she keeps her alliance with the two leading men under wraps, she could make the final three — and maybe win.

4. Kellyn (Last week: 3) — (O-Nav) Her game really seems to be falling apart. She’s paranoid and will believe seemingly anything people tell her (Michael: I have an idol! Kellyn: OMG!!! You totally do, even though you won’t show it to me!!). That said, she probably has one shot — this week — to win the game. If it’s going to happen, she needs to rally Angela, Chelsea and Sebastian to vote out either Dom or Wendell. Then the four of them will have a 4-3 advantage over Laurel/Donathan/remaining person between Dom and Wendell. That said, I doubt she can really make it work, and there’s a decent chance she’s getting voted out tonight.

5. Donathan (Last week: 5) — (O-Mal) He’s got a real shot at the final three now, as long as the Dom/Wendell/Laurel alliance holds and he can ride it out. Can he win? Probably not, unless a bitter jury decides not to give the prize or Wendell/Dom.

6. Sebastian (Last week: 7) — (O-Nav) He’s blind to Dom and Wendell’s plan, and so he’ll be an easy vote in the next few weeks unless he can somehow jump ship to Kellyn (if she pulls a new alliance together).

7. Angela (Last week: 6) — (O-Nav) She should have turned against Original Naviti when she had the chance. Now she’s at the bottom of the alliance and doesn’t have a prayer of winning.

8. Chelsea (Last week: 8) — (O-Nav) Her loyalty to Kellyn is not going to end well for her. If Kellyn doesn’t go home this week, it might be Chelsea.

 

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ELIMINATED:

Week 1: Gonzalez (ranked No. 8 of 20 castaways) and Jacob (ranked No. 4 of 20).

Week 2: Morgan (ranked No. 14 of 18)

Week 3: Brendan (ranked No. 2 of 17)

Week 4: Stephanie (ranked No. 1 of 16)

Week 5: James (ranked No. 10 of 15)

Week 6: Bradley (ranked No. 6 of 14)

Week 7: Chris (ranked No. 4 of 13)

Week 8: Libby (ranked No. 12 of 12)

Week 9: Desiree (ranked No. 8 of 11)

Week 10: Jenna (ranked No. 9 of 10) and Michael (ranked No. 10 of 10)

Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into Week 10 (the 11th episode of the season).

Though Desiree got the boot last week after her coup plan blew up in her face — thus reducing the number of Original Naviti — the power alliance still holds a 6-4 advantage over the remaining Original Malolo (Michael, Laurel, Donathan and Jenna).

Original Naviti will fall apart at some point, but apparently not yet. To help you keep track of what’s going on, I’ve added a (Original Naviti) or (Original Malolo) by the names below. These are ranked by best chance of winning the whole game.

Note: If you are confused on which player is which, click on their name to see a photo of them.

Survivor Power Rankings: Week 10

1. Domenick (Last week: 2) — (O-Nav) Apparently some people don’t like Domenick? That’s weird to me, because he’s playing the best game. Those players should have realized from the start he was a major threat, but he’s running the show. Even when Kellyn heavily protested about his plan to get rid of Desiree instead of Michael, Dom ended up getting people to go his way. The big concern here is other players talk about getting Domenick and Wendell eventually, but…who is going to do it? Kellyn? She just lost a number, and Domenick has quietly built an alliance with two people from Malolo (Laurel and Donathan).

2. Wendell (Last week: 1) — (O-Nav) When people talk about getting rid of either Wendell or Dom, Wendell’s name seems to come up more often. He’s still my favorite player of the season, but Dom seems to be playing a slightly smarter game recently.

3. Kellyn (Last week: 4) — (O-Nav) I was surprised to hear Kellyn openly tell Domenick about how tight she was with Chelsea and Desiree. She used the word “unbreakable.” Then it broke. Kellyn seems to have adopted that Bradley swagger and appears overconfident, but she has one thing in her favor: The one player who said Kellyn was “dangerous” and “playing way harder than anybody thinks” — Desiree — just went home.

4. Laurel (Last week: 3) — (O-Mal) I’m worried about Laurel’s game. She sort of outed herself by running to Dom with the Desiree news. Wouldn’t other players look at that and go, “Wait, why would she do that? Wouldn’t she want to work with Desiree and overthrow the Naviti power structure??” After all, she called Naviti a “cult-like society.” If people start to put the pieces together, it could fall apart for her quickly.

5. Donathan (Last week: 6) — (O-Mal) The longer he sticks around, the more chance he has of getting carried to the finals. And since others overlook him, I could almost picture a sympathetic jury giving him a million bucks. He has to avoid a lot of shots being fired at all remaining Original Malolo members first, though. 

6. Angela (Last week: 5) — (O-Nav) Here’s the thing about Angela: She’s a wild card. I could see her jumping to a different alliance when she needs to make a move. But in the meantime, no one is coming after her — so she might stay put for awhile longer.

7. Sebastian (Last week: 9) — (O-Nav) He’s determined to stay Naviti strong, but he doesn’t realize he’s toward the bottom. Wendell and Dom want to work with Kellyn — or even Donathan/Laurel — not him.

8. Chelsea (Last week: 7) — (O-Nav) With Desiree gone, she’s essentially Kellyn’s top lieutenant. But where’s that going to get her? Maybe to the final three, where she’ll get no votes.

9. Jenna (Last week: 10) — (O-Mal) Maybe it’s her position in the game, but it seems like she’s just waiting around to get voted off. She has no chance of actually winning it all.

10. Michael (Last week: 11) — (O-Mal) He’s just a sitting duck at this point. I like him, but the odds are he will go home this week unless he pulls some sort of idol magic.

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ELIMINATED:

Week 1: Gonzalez (ranked No. 8 of 20 castaways) and Jacob (ranked No. 4 of 20).

Week 2: Morgan (ranked No. 14 of 18)

Week 3: Brendan (ranked No. 2 of 17)

Week 4: Stephanie (ranked No. 1 of 16)

Week 5: James (ranked No. 10 of 15)

Week 6: Bradley (ranked No. 6 of 14)

Week 7: Chris (ranked No. 4 of 13)

Week 8: Libby (ranked No. 12 of 12)

Week 9: Desiree (ranked No. 8 of 11)

Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into Week 9 (the 10th episode of the season).

Libby went home last week, eliminating another Original Malolo member. There are now just four Original Malolos remaining — Michael, Laurel, Donathan and Jenna, and they’re outnumbered by the seven Original Naviti who are still left.

But the lines are starting to get a bit blurrier, so we’ll see how things shake out this week. To help you keep track, I’ve added a (O-Nav) or (O-Mal) by the names below. These are ranked by best chance of winning the whole game.

Note: If you are confused on which player is which, click on their name to see a photo of them.

Survivor Power Rankings: Week 9

1. Wendell (Last week: 1) — (O-Nav) He’s still playing the best game, although his ally Laurel seemed to be seriously considering a potential coup last week. Will revealing too much information to Laurel come back to bite him? After all, she told the camera, “I can only trust him to a certain point.”

2. Domenick (Last week: 2) — (O-Nav) He’s being portrayed as Wendell’s right-hand man, but I think he might be running the show. It was a smart move to lay low last week after seeming like a threat at tribal, though. If someone is going to break up the Wendell/Dom power duo, they might go after Wendell first.

3. Laurel (Last week: 4) — (O-Mal) Despite being Original Malolo, Laurel seems to have gotten herself into a final four agreement with the top two players from Naviti (Wendell and Dom) and a non-threat from Malolo (Donathan). If all of them stay true to their word, she could make a deep run and then assemble the numbers to make a power move in the final weeks to build her resume.

4. Kellyn (Last week: 3) — (O-Nav) She correctly identified Libby and Michael as a power couple that needed to be broken up, which she helped do successfully last week. Her best bet is sticking with Chelsea and Desiree to stay strong, then eventually get rid of Wendell or Dom.

5. Angela (Last week: 11) — (O-Nav) Wow! Her performance in the eating challenge last week was impressive, but not as impressive as her blatantly stirring the pot and spreading rumors about what others players are planning. If she keeps that up, she could make more of an impact than originally expected.

6. Donathan (Last week: 5) — (O-Mal) He really has a shot to make a deep run in this game. He might even get carried to the final three. It’s possible he could win under the right circumstances, namely if the other players anger the jury.

7. Chelsea (Last week: 6) — (O-Nav) It’s really hard to make any judgments about her game from week to week. One week, she’ll be in the mix. The next, she’ll be totally off the radar. It’s hard to picture her winning the whole thing, but she’s not in danger of going home soon.

8. Desiree (Last week: 9) — (O-Nav) She’s sort of floating along in the same group as Chelsea. It seems they go where Kellyn goes, but I don’t know how far that will take her.

9. Sebastian (Last week: 7) — (O-Nav) It’s approaching the time where being a strong male competitor makes people a target. And with Chris gone, who is the “meat shield” to keep Se-Bas from getting the boot?

10. Jenna (Last week: 10) — (O-Mal) She’s going to be an easy vote in the next couple episodes. Even if she survives that, she’s not playing a winning game.

11. Michael (Last week: 8) — (O-Mal) He lost another ally last week in Libby. He doesn’t have the numbers. And he’s already been identified as a threat. If he somehow makes it another few weeks, I’ll be surprised.

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ELIMINATED:

Week 1: Gonzalez (ranked No. 8 of 20 castaways) and Jacob (ranked No. 4 of 20).

Week 2: Morgan (ranked No. 14 of 18)

Week 3: Brendan (ranked No. 2 of 17)

Week 4: Stephanie (ranked No. 1 of 16)

Week 5: James (ranked No. 10 of 15)

Week 6: Bradley (ranked No. 6 of 14)

Week 7: Chris (ranked No. 4 of 13)

Week 8: Libby (ranked No. 12 of 12)

Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into Week 8 (the ninth episode of the season).

Chris finally got the boot after being the craziest character of the season, then recorded an actual rap video back at Ponderosa (you have to see it if you haven’t).

But now where does that leave everyone?

To help you keep track, I’ve added a (O-Nav) or (O-Mal) by the names below. These are ranked by best chance of winning the whole game.

Note: If you are confused on which player is which, click on their name to see a photo of them.

Survivor Power Rankings: Week 8

1. Wendell (Last week: 2) — (O-Nav) Wendell is playing such smooth, cool game and not making any enemies in the process. Eventually he’s going to cut ties with Domenick, but they’re a dynamic duo for now,.

2. Domenick (Last week: 1) — (O-Nav) I hate that he misplayed his Legacy Advantage. Ultimately, he could have kept it. But I still think he’s playing a good game. Now, is he making himself too big of a target? Perhaps. I think he has numbers to stick around for awhile, though.

3. Kellyn (Last week: 3) — (O-Nav) She still seems to be playing the best game outside of Wendell and Dom, who are far and away the tops of the season. I can’t see the other players thinking she’s a threat, either.

4. Laurel (Last week: 8) — (O-Mal) Laurel told Domenick she was happy to see him again when the tribes merged, and he returned the compliment. That indicates she has more of an “in” with Original Naviti than we may have realized, so it’s good for her game.

5. Donathan (Last week: 10) — (O-Mal) It seems like he has a good relationship with Dom. That, combined with him not being a threat at all, might keep him around long enough to pull off a surprise final three appearance.

6. Chelsea (Last week: 5) — (O-Nav) Chelsea is starting to make a little more noise and we’re seeing her game a bit more. She seems to have a strong voice in the direction of Original Naviti at times.

7. Sebastian (Last week: 6) — (O-Nav) He was Chris’ boy, so that might hurt his trustworthiness in the long run. And it’s another number lost that could have helped him make the final three.

8. Michael (Last week: 7) — (O-Mal) How far can he get before the big alliance decides he is too much of a threat? He could be a lock to win it all if he slips by everyone until the end.

9. Desiree (Last week: 9) — (O-Nav) Still has the numbers, but still stands to be on the bottom of the alliance once it starts breaking up.

10. Jenna (Last week: 13) — (O-Mal) Domenick found out last week (from Donathan) that Jenna and Libby weren’t really on his side. That’s a bad place to be for a guy who is playing a really sharp game.

11. Angela (Last week: 11) — (O-Nav) She was Chris’ top lieutenant. Now she’ll be easy to cast off for the Original Naviti when they turn on each other.

12. Libby (Last week: 12) — (O-Mal) She keeps getting votes thrown her way. Last week, some of the other women talked about voting her out — Desiree, Kellyn, Chelsea and Angela. Plus, Dom knows she’s a threat. I can’t see them letting her get much further.

 

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ELIMINATED:

Week 1: Gonzalez (ranked No. 8 of 20 castaways) and Jacob (ranked No. 4 of 20).

Week 2: Morgan (ranked No. 14 of 18)

Week 3: Brendan (ranked No. 2 of 17)

Week 4: Stephanie (ranked No. 1 of 16)

Week 5: James (ranked No. 10 of 15)

Week 6: Bradley (ranked No. 6 of 14)

Week 7: Chris (ranked No. 4 of 13)

Each week, I’ll be ranking the remaining castaways from Survivor: Ghost Island by their best overall chance to win the game. Here’s how things look heading into Week 7 (the eighth episode of the season).